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CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.ZTE Commercial: At present, the occupancy rate of office is about 95%, and the occupancy rate of catering industry exceeds 98%. ZTE Commercial said in the investigation of the reception organization that the company's property leasing mainly includes two parts: one is the leasing operation of catering industry in the business premises; The second is the lease operation of business office. At present, the rental rate of writing room is about 95%, and the rental rate of catering industry is over 98%. In the future, the company will focus on the main business, intensive cultivation, pioneering and innovative. On the one hand, continue to do a good job in the operation of physical stores and consolidate and strengthen the leading position in the region; On the other hand, accelerate the innovation of business model and realize new profit growth points. First, speed up the dinosaur museum project and create a new business format integrating museum and business; Second, speed up the online expansion. On the basis of the current "Zhongxing Building+"applet and live broadcast in Tik Tok, we will try to cooperate with a tripartite organization with the advantages of supply chain resources, explore a new online operation mode, and develop online and offline with the same frequency resonance and omni-channel.Shanxi Securities: The launch of new OpenAI products catalyzes the demand for low-orbit satellite to continue to accelerate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) The "Open AI 12 Days" activity was held, and the official version of o1 &pro and the full version of ChatGPT pro o1 were released faster and more powerful than o1 preview, and they performed better in code, mathematics and writing, and still possessed the original ability of picture reasoning. With the marginal cost of training continuing to increase and cot reasoning computing power continuing to increase, the computing power demand in 2025 is real and may continue to exceed expectations. It is suggested that the current optical module, copper connection, power supply and liquid cooling should be switched to the low valuation of 2025 performance. 2) Amazon shows trn1 ultra cabinet products, and cloud manufacturer ASIC brings incremental demand for copper connection. Cloud manufacturers' self-developed ASIC will bring important demand increment for high-speed copper connection. At present, copper connection system component manufacturers are concentrated overseas, while bare wire supporting capacity is concentrated in China. 3) Last week, Yuanxin Qian Fan's third networking satellite was successfully launched in Taiyuan, and SpaceX mobile phones were directly connected to satellite networking for commercial use. The development of LEO satellite Internet is related to 6G standard discourse right, orbital frequency resources and the game of international air and space infrastructure powers, which is expected to force the launch of LEO constellation in China to accelerate again. Under the catalysis of continuous events, the relevant targets of the industrial chain are expected to usher in a certain performance contribution and drive the double-click market.

There is still a large range of rainy weather in the south due to temperature fluctuations in many places in the country. Today and tomorrow (December 11-12), snowfall in the north will continue to shrink, and the south will continue to maintain a large range of rainy weather. At the same time, the cooling effect brought by cold air is still in progress, and the temperature in most areas will go down to a new level, with cold on top and cold on top, and many places will hit new lows since beginning of winter this year.VESYNC suspended trading in Hong Kong.Foreign media: The Israeli army said that Israel launched about 480 attacks on Syria in the past 48 hours. According to Agence France-Presse, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement on the 10th local time, saying that in the past 48 hours, the Israeli army launched about 480 attacks on Syria's strategic targets.

China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange fell 1% to 22,893.62 points.The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 78.6 billion yuan today, and the winning bid rate was 1.50%, which was the same as before. As 41.3 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired today, the net investment on that day was 37.3 billion yuan.